Posts Tagged 'Huckabee'

Obama movement soars as the fantasy of the Clinton Era slowly slips away

Super Tuesday has come and gone, and Hillary Clinton proved much like the New England Patriots. What is the point of winning California (think perfect season) if you want win the most delegates at the end of the night?

Obama had an amazing weekend with important wins throughout the country, as he swept this weekends primaries. What does that mean for the Clinton campaign?

Trouble.

The Clinton campaign is bracing for the possibility that their former Vice President, Al Gore, will side with the Junior Senator from Illinois. They are scared, and they should be scared. Apart from Bill Clinton endorsing Obama over his wife the thought that the most prominent member of the Democratic movement in the 90s would endorse Obama over Mrs. Clinton is a dreadful character blow to Clinton.

What are they up against? The Obama campaign is raising an unheard amount of money from an unheard of amount of people. Clinton just isn’t.

Furthermore the Obama movement is becoming more than just political support. It is becoming a tremendous movement. Journalist Geoff Elliot notes: “Obama is part politician, part cult. Supporters wearing T-shirts with an Andy Warhol like pop-art image of his face testify to that. But then they – him – were once easy to dismiss until people realised Obama’s charisma was being matched by one of the most sophisticated ground operations ever seen. It is one that is outsmarting the Clinton machine. He’s marrying inspiration and cult with old-fashioned political grunt. ”

The Clinton campaign just does not have the same fervor. What else does the Clinton campaign have to go up against? In the small chance that Hillary wins the nomination, she may find herself without the large pool of voters that Obama was able to harness. Sen. Obama noted in a rally that while he feels that Clinton supporters would come out for him if he was the nominee, he doesn’t know if the same is true about his supporters for Clinton.

He’s right! The Clinton cult is smaller and getting smaller as the country seems to be growing weary of the bizarre tag team preformed by Mr. and Mrs. Clinton. People who were once positive they wanted Bill Clinton back in the White House now aren’t so sure.

So what is next for the Democrats?

John McCain is the heir apparent to the Republican nomination, as Mike Huckabee seems to be making a solid bid to be the Vice Presidential nominee for the Republicans. The Democrats need to have their nominee before the convention if they hope to be able to build the money and strength needed to bring the best fight against the nominee. Furthermore, the Democrats need to nominate Sen. Obama. Hillary Clinton, despite what she might say, has no hope against Sen. McCain. The credentials that she has run on throughout the Democrats primary battles will pale in comparison and for her to even utter them in a stump speech would just be embarrassing for the Democratic Party.

One hopes that after the Potomac Primaries and a few more primaries throughout the month of March, Sen. Clinton will realize she has lost the nomination fight and will bow out to give Senator Obama the time to keep building his momentum and movement, but considering the past behavior of Clinton, that cannot be assured.

Obama needs to keep winning, and pull bigger numbers to shock the Clinton campaign out of their election fantasy and back into the reality that Mrs. Clinton has no appeal to anyone except for liberals, and without the crossover appeal will have no chance of beating Senator McCain in the November election.

Also Mrs. Clinton, people have noticed you haven’t congratulated Senator Obama on his great weekend. Show some class, please?

Primary Predictions….up to Super Tuesday

Congratulations Mitt Romney! You finally got a big one…even if your father was governor in the state.

John McCain, don’t worry. You’re still fine. Losing because of nepotism again must hurt, but fear not. You are going to do well Super Tuesday.

Here are my predictions for the Primary Season up to Super Tuesday

South Carolina- Congrats to Barack Obama and Mike Huckabee, I think you’re going to win it. Although John McCain, you may still have a chance in South Carolina…keep going strong.

Florida- Rudy Giuliani will not win here. I don’t care how much he is trying. It just will not happen. As for who will win. I think John McCain. The Democrats need to work out the legal issues of the Florida primary before I will comment on the primary.

Nevada- Obama wins, and the Clinton campaign takes a big hit in losing their ally, Harry Reid’s, state. Sign of things to come?

Louisiana- A close race between Huckabee and McCain

Maine- McCain wins here, but it’s close. Maybe a second place for Thompson. Not that it matters.

SUPER TUESDAY!

Alabama- Huckabee/Edwards

Alaska- McCain/Clinton

Arizona- McCain/Obama

Arkansas-Huckabee/Obama

California-McCain/Obama

Colorado- McCain/Obama

Connecticut- McCain/Clinton

Delaware- Romney/Clinton

Georgia- Huckabee/Obama

Idaho- Huckabee/Obama

Illinois- McCain/Obama…congrats to Obama on winning your home state

Kansas- Huckabee/Clinton

Massachusetts-Romney/Obama

Minnesota- Romney/Clinton

Missouri- McCain/Obama

New Jersey- Romney/Clinton

New Mexico- McCain/Obama

New York- Romney/Obama…Clinton loses her home state and possible her Senate seat.
Oklahoma- Huckabee/Obama

Tennessee- Huckabee/Obama…sorry Fred. Tennessee knows how worthless you are.

Utah- Romney/Clinton…Romney clenches the Mormon vote, anybody surprised?

My post super Tuesday expectations: Well, I think we are definitley going to have some front runners. I don’t see Edwards being around past Super Tuesday. Either money will dry up or he will get the message. Clinton will take a big hit but will probably stay in the race for a month or two longer. Obama will have a big day on Feb. 5th and will continue towards the nomination. Start thinking of a GREAT VP. A Republican would be an interesting choice.

For the Republicans. It’ll be tight between Huckabee and McCain. Romney won’t be around for too much longer. Maybe he can move to Utah and become a governor there. Fred Thompson will be gone, and not a moment too soon. I think Giuliani will be gone after his Florida intensive strategy blows up in his face and he sees how everybody thinks he is a weird and unlikable guy. A McCain/Huckabee ticket would be a formidable option, with McCain only staying in for one term. 

Clinton surprises as McCain storms past Romney

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The votes for the New Hampshire primary are in and they turned out to be disappointing for Obama supporters, who, after being hyped up by 8-12 percent leads saw their hopes of an Obama primary victory slowly wither away as the night progressed and votes were counted.

On the Republican side, it is predicted that Senator John McCain will win New Hampshire with 36 percent, beating Gov. Mitt Romney by 5 percent. The win is huge for McCain and propels him forward. McCain commented at his victory speech that, “Tonight we showed them what a comeback looks like.”

Fmr. Gov. Romney congratulated McCain on his victory and said that McCain ran a, “first class campaign”

As for the Democrats, Fmr. Senator Edwards is still in third place causing former Democratic Party chair Terry McAuliffe to say,”Now it’s a one-on-one race between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama.”

This is the truth, as it seems that the contest for the Democratic nomination will last until Super Tuesday if not until the convention.

Other campaign news, Mayor Michael Bloomberg continues to hint at the possibility of a Presidential run, with sources saying that Bloomberg will most likely not confirm or deny until March. Most likely for the purpose of scoping out the race.

Thoughts: It seems that Obama’s gigantic jump in the polls were a bit hollow and inflated with the 12 percent promised just yesterday falling far short.

The Obama campaign will truck on, although losing some of the Big Mo it has captured after the Iowa Caucus. As for the Clinton campaign, they have been refueled in New Hampshire and one can only imagine what sort of holy terror the Clintons have in store for the country. John Edwards it seems is content with where he is.

For the Republicans, a HUGE win for McCain who needed it to keep going. Romney is another candidate who seems content with where he is. My question is, what is Rudy Giuliani thinking? He is a non-candidate at this point with no momentum and I suspect a quickly emptying campaign war chest. Mike Huckabee is still the candidate to keep your eye out for, he’s amiable and he has some novel ideas.

Which brings me to Ron Paul, who had an impressive performance in Iowa tonight. Is it enough? Nah, but it’s still fun to watch.

What to watch for:

Giuliani…will he stay in?

Obama…will the hotel workers still endorse him?

Clinton…more tears?

Crying? Running? Preaching? What in the world are: Hillary Clinton, Ron Paul and Mike Huckabee thinking?

It would seem that the Clinton campaign is starting to have infighting over the future of the Senator’s campaign, and even more disturbing is Clinton breaking into tears over how hard it is.

Various news sources are beginning to report grumbling within the inner circle of the Clinton campaign who are urging her to drop out of the race after the expected double digit loss in New Hampshire to Senator Barack Obama.

Although, Matt Drudge is also reporting that one spokesman for the Clinton campaign said, “She did not work this hard to get out after one state.” It is rumored that the Ragin’ Cajun, James Carville has urged Clinton to stay in until after Super Tuesday in the hope that she gains momentum there.

Clinton also broke into tears as a campaign stop saying, Some of us put ourselves out there and do this against some pretty difficult odds and we do it, each one of us, because we care about our country.But some of us are right and some of us are wrong.Some of us are ready and some of us are not.

Enough is enough Mrs. Clinton, we understand that you want to be President very much, but crying to get it?

Barack Obama spoke with Diane Sawyer, and responded to Clinton’s tactics for the first time since the Iowa Caucus saying, “I find the manner in which they’ve been running their campaign sort of depressing, lately. It was interesting in the debate, Sen. Clinton saying ‘don’t feed the American people false hopes. Get a reality check, you know?’ I mean, you can picture JFK saying, ‘we can’t go to the moon, it’s a false hope. Let’s get a reality check.’ It’s not, sort of, I think, what our tradition has been.”

All the while third place contender John Edwards seems to be trying to get a position as Barack Obama’s attack dog, or maybe just his Vice President. It was reported that Edwards said that the Clinton campaigns fund of money was going to dry up. After Saturday nights performance attacking Clinton, and his low polling numbers it can easily be surmised what he is going after.

On the Republican side, Mike Huckabee scares America as the Washington Post reports that Huckabee gave a sermon at NH church saying, “When we become believers, it’s as if we have signed up to be part of God’s Army, to be soldiers for Christ.” One really wonders how Huckabee is going to respect the boundary between Church and State and how a non-Christian would ever be able to vote for him.

Expectations for tomorrow’s primary: A 5 point Obama win with Clinton in second and Edwards in third. On the Republican side McCain, Romney, Huckabee, Giuliani, Paul.

I don’t see any of the big three Democrats dropping out right away, but it is possible if Hillary loses by enough. On the Republican side, I could see Mitt Romney dropping out by Friday but everyone else staying in. My question for Ron Paul still is, why are you running as a Republican? I don’t think he has a realistic conception of what he can do for the Republican Party or a realistic conception of who actually likes him and what his chances are.

Congrats to McCain and Huckabee..not as much Romney and Paul

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The New Hampshire Republican debates are winding down and the results are starting to come in. Mitt Romney is clearly backed into a corner and is starting to trying hit back, which doesn’t seem to be working for the American people.

John McCain is up in the polls in New Hampshire, and is thoughtfully approaching the issues brought by Charlie Gibson. McCain responded to Mitt Romney’s attack on his immigration proposals, specially amnesty for illegal immigrants, by saying, “”You can spend your whole fortune on these attacks ads, my friend, but it’s not true.” Although, one still has to note that McCain still has a lot of trouble answering questions on immigration. However, McCain still comes out above Romney, who came off as smug.

The evening’s festivities took an interesting turn every time Congressman Paul spoke up. The rest of the candidates spoke out against Congressman Paul every time, effectively shutting down his libertarian views in favor of mainstream Republican views. Ron Paul’s views are always interesting, but do not seem to fit in the Republican party.

The Republicans disappointingly stood by the majority of President Bush’s doctrines, with Congressman Paul being the only real dissenting voice. Governor Huckabee was the most independent in his views, stating that he agreed with Bush’s Iraq Plan but wanted to put his own mark on the office.

As for the Republican’s prospects in the fall, it’s bleak. The Republican presidential candidates cannot seem to get fully in touch with the current trend in America as for the course of the nation. Senator McCain still stands firmly by his views, which makes me wonder if he is on to something. As for the rest of them, get a view and stick to it. That means you Mitt Romney. Figure out what you stand for, and stand for it. All in all, an interesting Republican Debate.

Expectations for Tuesday: Look for a mix-up. McCain, Romney/Huckabee, Giuliani, Paul. Again, I still think Ron Paul will stick it out, but I see Romney being gone soon.

Quote of the evening: “Did you read the article before you commented on it?” -Mike Huckabee to Mitt Romney

Winner? I’d go with Mike Huckabee. He is an interesting candidate with some real potential for the long run.

Obama and Huckabee hit their rhetorical stride

Obama strikes again with his message of hope and change in his victory speech after the Iowa Caucus.

Mike Huckabee shows the country how dangerous he can be with a speech full of Republican populism and hope for the future. His speech is proof of how good a traditional values Republican can sound if they put their mind to it. It also shows the value of positive campaigning, especially in juxtaposition to the campaign ads of Mitt Romney.

Obama’s speech shows why he won, and while he will continue to win in states around the country. Obama’s speech is one of the best speeches of the past 15 years.

Check them both out…

Iowa and Beyond: Republicans

(Photo from the Boston Globe)

In a race that has rarely seen any hope for the Republicans, hope is slowly starting to emerge in the most unlikely of candidates. Maybe it was just a matter of time before the Republicans stopped sitting around giggling about nominating an evangelical candidate as a serious choice and just did it.

Mike Huckabee came out with a strong win at the caucus. His speech afterwards should be watched by all, it shows a dangerous side to Huckabee.


The big surprise (and a happy one for me) was really how bad Romney did. Romney took a big lickin’ at the hands of Huckabee, showing further the evangelicals of the Republican party uncertainty over a Mormon Bishop.

Another pleasant surprise was just how bad Giuliani did in Iowa. After the caucus, CNN had Rudy describing his 50 state plan. My thoughts: we won’t be seeing Giuliani much longer, he was a bad mayor for New York City and the country will soon know what New York has known for a long time. Giuliani is bad news.

Expectations for the Republicans: New Hampshire will be a big test for the Republicans. I don’t expect to see Huckabee placing first in the Granite State, but he doesn’t need to either. The mainline establishment of New Hampshire isn’t going to be interested for the time being in a southern Baptist minister. The real tension is how Romney will do. If Romney does not win, it really is over for him. It’ll put to bed the question of America’s acceptance of Mormonism as a mainstrem Religion, and will put to bed any doubt just how sleazy Mitt Romney really is. Expect big numbers from John McCain, who is feeling mini-surges all around the country.

My prediction is Romney, McCain, Huckabee, Giuliani. Romney will live to Super Tuesday, but not much further.

Memorable Quote: “If Huckabee scares the Republican establishment and makes the party fear losing, you could see a rapid rallying around a second candidate.” -Republican Strategist Donald Warfield to the NY Times.