Posts Tagged 'McCain'

Disarray on the road to the White House

Senator Hillary Clinton just does not seem to understand the position she is in, or maybe she does and it is merely hubris that is keeping her in the race. Pundits all across the networks have noted that if Sen. Obama had lost 11 straight primaries, he would habe left the race graciously a long time ago. But that is not the Clinton way.

Senator Obama is doing phenomenally well in his quest for the White House, and after winning 11 straight primaries they momentum does not seem to be letting up. Statisticians are putting him in a dead heat with Senator Clinton 8 days out from the primary, and he seems to have no where to go but up. The Clinton campaign’s efforts at smearing the Obama campaign are failing as even Maggie Williams can’t control the campaign or the media.

The Clinton campaign needs to fold up quietly and let the Obama campaign pull the full resources of the Democratic Party to hit hard against Senator McCain.

Just today Senator McCain told reports that, “Americans will judge my candidacy first and foremost on how they believe I can lead the country both from our economy and for national security. Obviously, Iraq will play a role in their judgment of my ability to handle national security.”  With McCain’s positions on Iraq having been clearly published in recent weeks, it is no surpirse how the Democrats should and will approach their campaign against Senator McCain.

That leaves only how quickly can the Democrats form together and move back the Clinton/Obama race. The steps for that are as follows: someone needs to tell Senator Clinton to leave, Senator Clinton leaves, Obama finds a running mate, and the race is on.

But who can tell Senator Clinton that her time is up? Columnist Robert Novak notes that Ted Kennedy, who is the clearest example of a party elder is out because of his ties to the Obama campaign, but if not the liberal lion than who?

Al Gore would be a logical choice, but his ties to the Clinton campaign in the past, and the potential bad blood between the two families could tarnish that. Nancy Pelosi? Howard Dean? Both aren’t strong enough. Regardless the Democrats need to firm up the calling committee and tell Hillary to go home.

That leaves the running mate for Senator Obama, and my money is firmly on Tim Kaine. Kathleen Sebelius would be a great choice, but I’m not sure if the Democrats feel completely comfortable running an African American and a Woman, as sad as that is. However, Tim Kaine is no second string candidate to Sebelius. He is a strong candidate with experience as a governor and a history with one of the legendary families of Virginia, by way of his wife.

The Democrats need to firm up quickly, so they can decide on a running mate for Obama and start exposing the world view of John McCain as a relic of the past.

Obama movement soars as the fantasy of the Clinton Era slowly slips away

Super Tuesday has come and gone, and Hillary Clinton proved much like the New England Patriots. What is the point of winning California (think perfect season) if you want win the most delegates at the end of the night?

Obama had an amazing weekend with important wins throughout the country, as he swept this weekends primaries. What does that mean for the Clinton campaign?

Trouble.

The Clinton campaign is bracing for the possibility that their former Vice President, Al Gore, will side with the Junior Senator from Illinois. They are scared, and they should be scared. Apart from Bill Clinton endorsing Obama over his wife the thought that the most prominent member of the Democratic movement in the 90s would endorse Obama over Mrs. Clinton is a dreadful character blow to Clinton.

What are they up against? The Obama campaign is raising an unheard amount of money from an unheard of amount of people. Clinton just isn’t.

Furthermore the Obama movement is becoming more than just political support. It is becoming a tremendous movement. Journalist Geoff Elliot notes: “Obama is part politician, part cult. Supporters wearing T-shirts with an Andy Warhol like pop-art image of his face testify to that. But then they – him – were once easy to dismiss until people realised Obama’s charisma was being matched by one of the most sophisticated ground operations ever seen. It is one that is outsmarting the Clinton machine. He’s marrying inspiration and cult with old-fashioned political grunt. ”

The Clinton campaign just does not have the same fervor. What else does the Clinton campaign have to go up against? In the small chance that Hillary wins the nomination, she may find herself without the large pool of voters that Obama was able to harness. Sen. Obama noted in a rally that while he feels that Clinton supporters would come out for him if he was the nominee, he doesn’t know if the same is true about his supporters for Clinton.

He’s right! The Clinton cult is smaller and getting smaller as the country seems to be growing weary of the bizarre tag team preformed by Mr. and Mrs. Clinton. People who were once positive they wanted Bill Clinton back in the White House now aren’t so sure.

So what is next for the Democrats?

John McCain is the heir apparent to the Republican nomination, as Mike Huckabee seems to be making a solid bid to be the Vice Presidential nominee for the Republicans. The Democrats need to have their nominee before the convention if they hope to be able to build the money and strength needed to bring the best fight against the nominee. Furthermore, the Democrats need to nominate Sen. Obama. Hillary Clinton, despite what she might say, has no hope against Sen. McCain. The credentials that she has run on throughout the Democrats primary battles will pale in comparison and for her to even utter them in a stump speech would just be embarrassing for the Democratic Party.

One hopes that after the Potomac Primaries and a few more primaries throughout the month of March, Sen. Clinton will realize she has lost the nomination fight and will bow out to give Senator Obama the time to keep building his momentum and movement, but considering the past behavior of Clinton, that cannot be assured.

Obama needs to keep winning, and pull bigger numbers to shock the Clinton campaign out of their election fantasy and back into the reality that Mrs. Clinton has no appeal to anyone except for liberals, and without the crossover appeal will have no chance of beating Senator McCain in the November election.

Also Mrs. Clinton, people have noticed you haven’t congratulated Senator Obama on his great weekend. Show some class, please?

Big Happenings for Obama

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South Carolina is over, and what a tremendous win for Barack Obama.

Obama not only beat Clinton he absolutely and completely defeated her South Carolina strategy.

So what’s next for Obama & CO?

Big Happenings. It has been leaked that the de facto leader of the Democratic Party Edward Kennedy will endorse Sen. Obama on Monday outside American University. This comes on the tail of the phenomenal op-ed written by his niece and fmr. President John Kennedy’s daughter Caroline. In one of the best pieces of political writing in the New York Times in a long while (and certainly better than their shoddy endorsement of Clinton) Caroline Kennedy wrote:

Sometimes it takes a while to recognize that someone has a special ability to get us to believe in ourselves, to tie that belief to our highest ideals and imagine that together we can do great things. In those rare moments, when such a person comes along, we need to put aside our plans and reach for what we know is possible.

We have that kind of opportunity with Senator Obama. It isn’t that the other candidates are not experienced or knowledgeable. But this year, that may not be enough. We need a change in the leadership of this country — just as we did in 1960.

It’s wonderful to see the Kennedy family taking up their leadership mantle for the Obama campaign.

What’s next for the Democrats then? Everyone is still waiting for the endorsement of Nobel Laureate/Vice President/Academy Award winner/Author/Everything else Al Gore. If Obama can nab both Kennedy and Gore, he has a blank check and the full support of the elders of the Democratic Party.

It would also be the end of the Clinton campaign. The Clinton campaign who has falsely sold themselves as the campaign of experience would be shut down by the two most experienced Democratic minds. The Clinton campaign would be castrated from the image that they are trying to sell that people should consider them experienced. If Ted Kennedy and Al Gore have no consideration for Hillary’s experience then why should the electorate?

As for the other Democrat, he is remaining in the race. Edwards campaign folk are alledging that Edwards will remain in the race until the convention. I suspect Edwards sees a VP spot for himself, but this would be the wrong move for the Obama campaign, and I hope they realize that.

Edwards really has nothing to offer the Obama campaign, and wouldn’t be able to win the Presidency in 8 years. Hopefully he will realize this, but it’s doubtful.

As for the Republicans, John McCain keeps on keeping on. Mitt Romney recently acquired the services of a Cheney, but who really cares? She worked for Fred Thompson first. The country is sick of the Bush family and is certainly sick of the Cheney family.

Rudy Giuliani still remains in the race, but I’m hoping that he drops out soon so the country doesn’t have to continue watching one of the most painful ego trips in political history.

On to Super Tuesday!

Thoughts on South Carolina and the Democrat’s identity crisis

The moment the Democrats have been waiting for is almost here. It’s the moment where they get to prove themselves in the South and see if they appeal to Southern voters. That’s right, South Carolina primary is here.

This evening the Democrats had an opportunity to debate and that debate was telling in that it revealed what the Democrats see as being the important issues for Southerners: Health Care, Immigration, and the War.

What else is new, it’s whats on everybody’s mind everywhere.

The character I was most surprised about was John Edwards. Whose side is he on? John Edwards, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, John McCain? I don’t even know if he knows.

He just seems to be pandering to everyone these days. During a good portion of the debate he seemed to align to Sen. Clinton in attack Sen Obama and earlier in the week he seemed to endorse McCain as the heir apparent to the Republican nomination. Granted, Edwards endorsement would hurt McCain in the Republican race, but who does Edwards think he is anyways?

Obama gave some interesting answers during the debate. Especially in the area of Health Care in a time when the entire Democratic party is jumping on the Universal Health Care band wagon, Obama is acknowledging the limited resources of our economy, although Mrs. Clinton doesn’t seem to realize this. Clinton said during the debate tonight, “”If you don’t start out trying to get universal health care, we know — and our members of Congress know — you’ll never get there.”

It’s about time someone running says something about the limited resources in our economy, and thank you for Barack Obama for putting the focus on the children.

I am worried that Mrs. Clinton’s with us or against us attitude is what sunk the Children’s Health Care issues in the 90’s and is her problem now.

What seemed to be the most telling aspect of the debate, and the race this evening, is the Democratic party’s crisis of identity. Who exactly do they represent? Is the goal of the Democratic party to be the champion of everybody? Is that a noble goal? Is the endorsement of universal health care for undocumented/illegal immigrants going to take away health care money from legal citizens? Do the Democrats care?

I see Obama caring, but I see Edwards and Clinton getting so caught up in the party line they aren’t able to separate it from reality. The Democrats also seem to be confused over how to represent the working man/woman. I don’t see the Democrats as caring about the working man anymore, instead working on pandering to what they see the working man wanting.

The Democrats have lost touch with the reality of the middle class, especially in regards to the values voters. The race so far has shown clearly how completely the Democrats have sold out the base of their party for the minority interests in the party on values issues and tax issues.

It will be interesting to see who the conservative middle class Southern voters of South Carolina align with in the Democratic party. My bet is the non-confrontational message of Barack Obama. There is something about the observance of Barack Obama to traditional values while working for a change in Washington’s approach to it’s citizenry that I see appealing to South Carolina.

What will this mean for the Democrats?

Well I see it being a hit for John Edwards, who has billed himself as the champion of the middle class and Health care while suing the Health Care workers out of their jobs. I don’t see Edwards lasting for much longer, although I suppose that has been said for a while. Edwards said during the debate, “I also want to know on behalf of voters in South Carolina, how many children are going to get health care because of this? We have got to understand that this is not about us personally.”

My question would be, how many children’s parents had trouble receiving adequate obstetric care in North Carolina due to your practicing malpractice law?

Mrs. Clinton still seems to hold to the party line all the while continuing to attract the women all around the country. I suppose it would be safe to say that Sen. Clinton has a while left in the race, although I don’t see her faring well on Super Tuesday.

Just some thoughts…

Primary Predictions….up to Super Tuesday

Congratulations Mitt Romney! You finally got a big one…even if your father was governor in the state.

John McCain, don’t worry. You’re still fine. Losing because of nepotism again must hurt, but fear not. You are going to do well Super Tuesday.

Here are my predictions for the Primary Season up to Super Tuesday

South Carolina- Congrats to Barack Obama and Mike Huckabee, I think you’re going to win it. Although John McCain, you may still have a chance in South Carolina…keep going strong.

Florida- Rudy Giuliani will not win here. I don’t care how much he is trying. It just will not happen. As for who will win. I think John McCain. The Democrats need to work out the legal issues of the Florida primary before I will comment on the primary.

Nevada- Obama wins, and the Clinton campaign takes a big hit in losing their ally, Harry Reid’s, state. Sign of things to come?

Louisiana- A close race between Huckabee and McCain

Maine- McCain wins here, but it’s close. Maybe a second place for Thompson. Not that it matters.

SUPER TUESDAY!

Alabama- Huckabee/Edwards

Alaska- McCain/Clinton

Arizona- McCain/Obama

Arkansas-Huckabee/Obama

California-McCain/Obama

Colorado- McCain/Obama

Connecticut- McCain/Clinton

Delaware- Romney/Clinton

Georgia- Huckabee/Obama

Idaho- Huckabee/Obama

Illinois- McCain/Obama…congrats to Obama on winning your home state

Kansas- Huckabee/Clinton

Massachusetts-Romney/Obama

Minnesota- Romney/Clinton

Missouri- McCain/Obama

New Jersey- Romney/Clinton

New Mexico- McCain/Obama

New York- Romney/Obama…Clinton loses her home state and possible her Senate seat.
Oklahoma- Huckabee/Obama

Tennessee- Huckabee/Obama…sorry Fred. Tennessee knows how worthless you are.

Utah- Romney/Clinton…Romney clenches the Mormon vote, anybody surprised?

My post super Tuesday expectations: Well, I think we are definitley going to have some front runners. I don’t see Edwards being around past Super Tuesday. Either money will dry up or he will get the message. Clinton will take a big hit but will probably stay in the race for a month or two longer. Obama will have a big day on Feb. 5th and will continue towards the nomination. Start thinking of a GREAT VP. A Republican would be an interesting choice.

For the Republicans. It’ll be tight between Huckabee and McCain. Romney won’t be around for too much longer. Maybe he can move to Utah and become a governor there. Fred Thompson will be gone, and not a moment too soon. I think Giuliani will be gone after his Florida intensive strategy blows up in his face and he sees how everybody thinks he is a weird and unlikable guy. A McCain/Huckabee ticket would be a formidable option, with McCain only staying in for one term. 

Obama closes in on Clinton as she loses touch with reality

Not to jinx it again, but new polling suggests that Sen. Barack Obama’s favorables have significantly grown. The Washington Post is reporting that Obama is making a serious challenge to Hillary Clinton as the most electable candidate for the Democrats.

This adds to the unraveling of Clinton’s all be assured win as Rep. Clyburn has hinted at removing his neutrality after what can be seen as a series of disastrous comments from both Bill and Hillary Clinton.

The final straw for many black voters was Hillary’s comments on Martin Luther King’s actual contribution to civil rights, saying that Lyndon Johnson did more.
However Hillary is fighting back, and it has me confused as to whether or not she listen to herself.

She said yesterday that,” This is an unfortunate story line that the Obama campaign has pushed very successfully.” Hillary went on to say that, “I don’t think this campaign is about gender, and I sure hope it’s not about race.”

What fairy tale world is Hillary Clinton living in (to steal from Bill’s gaffe of a few days ago)?

I’ve had enough of her talk of how people are out to get her, and I’ve certainly had enough of Hillary Clinton’s talk about “experience.” It’s a lie that needs to stop.

This is Hillary’s experience:

Dishwasher in Alaska

Children’s Defense Fund

Impeachment Inquiry Staff- Watergate

Intellectual Property Law- Rose Law Firm

First Lady of Arkansas

First Lady of the United States

United States Senator- two terms.

I mean, really?

A pilot’s wife isn’t a pilot because her husband is, and a first lady isn’t president because her husband is…enough is enough.

Hillary is not the candidate of change. She isn’t the candidate of experience. She is just another bland candidate lost amongst an uninspired set of the politicians spouting the same old corruption and lies.

Enough is enough Hillary.

Expectations: Obama wins South Carolina. Obama wins Nevada. Romney wins Michigan. Giuliani loses Florida and bows out of the race, leaving his staff to find paying jobs once again. Romney stays in a little longer, but McCain and Huckabee gather steam to become the serious contenders for the Republicans. Bye Mitt.

The race is going to begin to firm up again after the Democrat’s debacle in New Hampshire, and after Romney and Giuliani receive the primary wake-up calls in South Carolina and Florida.

What happened to the concept of semi-accurate polling?

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The experts and statisticians are starting to come out of the woodwork and say what the hell happened? The Republicans had it right, we saw John McCain going a few points up and he won a few points up. The same polling agencies however went a little crazy and were calling a 12 point blowout for Barack Obama.

What happened?

Granted, the fact that Clinton’s name was at the top of the ballot always lends to the same year and after year superficial excuses for loss, but this wasn’t just a little loss it was a big loss. Maybe not in numbers but in the crushing blow it gave to the spirit of Obama followers.

12 points! 12 points! What have to ask ourselves, what happened!

Gary Langer the chief poller for ABC, almost immediately after the election stood up and questioned what happened with polling potential Democratic voters. Or it just may be something else.

Langer said, “In the end there may be no smoking gun. Those polls may have been accurate, but done in by a superior get-out-the-vote effort, or by very late deciders whose motivations may or may not ever be known. They may have been inaccurate because of bad modeling, compromised sampling, or simply an overabundance of enthusiasm for Obama on the heels of his Iowa victory that led his would-be supporters to overstate their propensity to turn out. (A function, perhaps, of youth.)”

I suppose that makes sense. Who knows really.

A hearty congratulations to John McCain for the big win in New Hampshire. His campaign promises a fresh breath of frank discussion in the White House.

It’s up to Barack Obama to get momentum back and take the reigns of the Democratic machine back from Hillary Clinton.

And it’s up to the pollsters to try for accuracy next time…